AU RP Data predicts property prices to double
Property Here - Tuesday, April 23, 2013
MORE than 250 suburbs around Australia are predicted to double in value in the next ten years.
And tenants in almost 800 suburbs are potentially set to see their weekly rent double in the same time, according to new research by RP Data.
The real estate data firm's Autumn Investor Guide has revealed the nation’s top property investment prospects include 263 suburbs or towns with the potential to see 100 per cent growth in the next decade, 792 where rental growth will do likewise, and 582 suburbs where rental margins are currently are topping 5.5 per cent.
It is thought these factors will make the suburbs a hit with investors, but they may also prove a nightmare for those renting and trying to get their feet on the property ladder.
Despite house prices tumbling from this time in 2010 until about May last year Victoria is the nation’s most likely state to see property values double, according to the report.
A total of 68 suburbs around the state are identified in the report, narrowly topping NSW at 65.
Among the nation’s capital cities, the top earners over the past five years, and top picks to see values double in the next ten are extremely varied.
Berrimah in Darwin tops the list with a 25.7 per cent average annual growth over the past five years, followed by Deakin, Canberra, and Potts Point, Sydney, at 19.8 per cent, and Williams Landing in Melbourne at 19.4 per cent.
RP Data analyst Cameron Kusher said a large number of the tipped property winners are in regional Queensland, NSW and WA - with mining growth a significant factor in their performance recently and a major element of their future prosperity.
"We don't necessarily say that that is going to continue, but there are some good opportunities from over the last five years,'' he said.
Mr Kusher said that while not all the suburbs mentioned in the report would continue on trend, those hoping to buy or who are still renting could take heart that many others would not see such dramatic growth.
"From the investors perspective these are the ones that have done very well in the last five years,'' Mr Kusher said.
"(And) there are some (suburbs) in Victoria where rents are falling or haven't moved.
"Over the past five years some of these areas have done quite well, perhaps they have cooled off over the last year or two.''
"Renters in Sydney are most likely to feel the pinch if the predictions, based on growth over the past five years, come to pass.
A whopping 249 suburbs have been identified in Sydney, including ritzy Vaucluse where rent for houses has grown by about $1015 (15.3 per cent per year) in the past five years and Potts Point, where houses now rent at $377 (13.9 per cent per year) more than they did in 2008.
Perth was a close second, with 181 suburbs tipped for a potential rental price double.
Houses in Menora, WA, are expected to see median rents double after they rose from $400 in 2008 to $1,100 currently, according to the RP Data figures.
Report co-author and RP Data analyst Tim Lawless said the growth had been predicted on suburbs with annual growth topping 7.2 per cent.
"By using a scenario based on compounding growth calculation, the value of an asset will double in ten years if it records an annual increase of 7.2 per cent,'' Mr Lawless said.
"Based on this measure we have identified 263 suburbs where values are on track to double over a ten year period and 792 where weekly rents are on track to double over ten years.''
Mr Lawless said that investors were encouraged to view the free report as a guide or starting point for investigating investment opportunities.
Read more: http://www.news.com.au/realestate/buying/time-to-buy-property-prices-to-double/story-fndban6l-1226626822141#ixzz2RFLnL1dM